Tag: RECESSION
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Gold’s Shining Pattern: Will 2024 Mirror 2008?
Gold’s journey through modern financial history tells a compelling story—one marked by calm during economic clarity and brilliance during financial turmoil. In 2000, gold was barely on anyone’s radar, averaging just $270 per ounce. Fast forward to 2008, during the peak of the global financial crisis, it climbed past $870 and soared beyond $1,000 in…
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Trump Tariffs 2.0 vs. 1.0 – How the S&P 500 is Reacting Now
The market’s reaction to tariff implementations has been a significant indicator of investor sentiment and economic expectations. The chart comparing Trump 1.0 and Trump 2.0 tariffs showcases a clear correlation between the imposition of tariffs and S&P 500 daily returns, with the latter period appearing to be more volatile and reactive. Tariff 1.0: The 2018…
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U.S. Home Builder Speculative Inventory Near 2008 Levels: What It Means for the Housing Market
The U.S. housing market is witnessing a significant rise in home builder speculative (spec) inventory, nearing levels observed during the 2008 housing bubble. Spec homes—properties built without a committed buyer—have become a critical factor in market dynamics. Let’s break down the current situation compared to the 2008 crisis and assess its potential implications. Comparing Inventory…